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  2. Americans’ economic pessimism contains a strange paradox ...

    www.aol.com/finance/americans-economic-pessimism...

    The Federal Reserve has been clear that it won’t lower interest rates until inflation is on track to reach its 2% target. So far that has not been the case. So far that has not been the case.

  3. Affective forecasting - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Affective_forecasting

    Affective forecasting. Affective forecasting, also known as hedonic forecasting or the hedonic forecasting mechanism, is the prediction of one's affect ( emotional state) in the future. [1] As a process that influences preferences, decisions, and behavior, affective forecasting is studied by both psychologists and economists, with broad ...

  4. Fed expected to keep interest rates higher for longer amid ...

    www.aol.com/finance/fed-expected-keep-interest...

    Hiking federal rates tends to create higher interest rates on consumer and business loans, which then slows the economy by forcing employers to cut back on spending.

  5. The Fed's favored inflation gauge highlights shortened ... - AOL

    www.aol.com/finance/feds-favored-inflation-gauge...

    May 28, 2024 at 9:52 AM. Stocks closed last week with mixed results as debate about when, or if, the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates continued to be top of mind for investors. For the week ...

  6. Fed remains on hold, keeps forecast for three rate cuts in 2024

    www.aol.com/finance/fed-leaves-interest-rates...

    The Federal Reserve left interest rates unchanged for the fifth straight meeting and signaled that they still plan to cut interest rates three times in 2024, even as recent data suggests that...

  7. Superforecaster - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superforecaster

    Superforecaster. A superforecaster is a person who makes forecasts that can be shown by statistical means to have been consistently more accurate than the general public or experts. Superforecasters sometimes use modern analytical and statistical methodologies to augment estimates of base rates of events; research finds that such forecasters ...

  8. What are TikTok ‘trend forecasters’ and how do they predict ...

    www.aol.com/tiktok-trend-forecasters-predict...

    Trend forecasters are all over TikTok these days, and are well-known for their ability to drive consumer demand.. Before the digital age took the world by storm, most people turned to the advice ...

  9. Chair Powell says the Fed isn’t more tolerant of higher ...

    www.aol.com/finance/chair-powell-says-fed-isn...

    US inflation is down considerably from the 40-year highs reached in the summer of 2022. But it remains above the official 2% target set by the Federal Reserve.

  10. Survey of Professional Forecasters - Wikipedia

    en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Survey_of_Professional...

    The Survey of Professional Forecasters ( SPF) is a quarterly survey of macroeconomic forecasts for the economy of the United States issued by the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia. It is the oldest such survey in the United States. The survey includes an "anxious index" that estimates the probability of a decline in real GDP.

  11. Salesforce forecasts Q2 revenue, profit below estimates on ...

    www.aol.com/news/salesforce-forecasts-q2-revenue...

    The company left its full-year revenue forecast unchanged, but cut its operating margin expectations to 19.9% from its prior forecast of around 20.4% for fiscal 2025.